Arid-Socialism
0xe4819a3493eb473b0f3c92e44f38a638976732a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
197
Open notional
$59.84
Total PnL
$-357.76
Realised
$54.53
Win rate
66%
68 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 197- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?
20 shares @ 23.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$7.50
$2.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 15?
30 shares @ 22.7¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$6.15
$-0.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14?
12 shares @ 37.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.65
$1.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 14?
13 shares @ 25.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.29
$2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 14?
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.90
$0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 14?
10 shares @ 37.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.65
$0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 14?
15 shares @ 22.3¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.13
$0.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?
10 shares @ 36.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.00
$0.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 14?
50 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.75
$0.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 15?$1.26Jun 13, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14?$0.99Jun 13, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14?$0.39Jun 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14?$0.22Jun 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 14?$2.39Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 14?$1.09Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 14?$2.59Jun 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 15?$2.29Jun 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 15?$1.26Jun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 14?$2.39Jun 13, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13?$0.99Jun 13, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?$7.52Jun 13, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13?$1.26Jun 13, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?$1.32Jun 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?$0.97Jun 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?$11.51Jun 13, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?$1.05Jun 13, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?$3.00Jun 13, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?$0.30Jun 13, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?$1.29Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 04:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 68 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.