Brief-Republican
0xe4867a46222da06dc8a77e2ce3594df0c09683dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-113.33
Realised
$-4.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
12800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.80
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
3500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 5?
384 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 14?
318 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
253 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
68 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
9 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$7.79Apr 22, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$3.00Apr 22, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$21.00Apr 22, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$25.00Apr 22, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$10.00Mar 4, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$20.59Mar 4, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$10.00Mar 4, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$10.00Mar 4, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$30.33Mar 4, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$9.00Mar 4, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$15.00Mar 4, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$12.86Feb 18, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$15.00Feb 18, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$3.55Feb 3, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?$18.75Feb 3, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$15.32Feb 3, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$22.40Feb 3, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$10.97Feb 3, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?$25.00Feb 3, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$25.00Feb 3, 13:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $13.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 19:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 13:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".