Grouchy-Orient
0xe492cfff541fa99e6ab02bbbb31ab740ece48309
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-611.07
Realised
$14.52
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Charlotte Hornets?
1627 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 10.5
1500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Kevin Huerter: Assists O/U 2.5
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 4.5
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Detroit Pistons?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kevin Huerter: Points O/U 10.5
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$14.26Mar 18, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$2.00Feb 28, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.00Feb 28, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$25.00Feb 15, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.23Feb 13, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$5.00Feb 13, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$10.00Feb 13, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.00Feb 13, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 13, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.00Feb 9, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$43.24Feb 9, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$19.00Feb 9, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$8.98Feb 9, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?$5.00Feb 9, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?$5.00Feb 9, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?$7.50Feb 8, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?$5.00Feb 8, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erika Kirk attend Super Bowl LX?$5.00Feb 8, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barron Trump attend Super Bowl LX?$5.00Feb 8, 04:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 07:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 06:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".