Illustrious-Vermicelli
0xe49635184ff2a667823a36d8e2a012d44dfe61bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$10.15
Total PnL
$-13.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
184 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.67
$-1.40
- NO
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 3.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.22
$0.20
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
2226 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2226 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
2226 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
2226 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
2226 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2226 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
2226 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.07Mar 25, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Mar 25, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Mar 25, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$1.00Mar 25, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.00Mar 25, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.00Feb 4, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 4, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$1.00Feb 4, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Feb 4, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$1.02Feb 4, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.03Feb 4, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple acquire Mistral by December 31?$1.03Feb 4, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$2.02Feb 4, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?$4.00Jan 8, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$2.00Nov 28, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple acquire Mistral by December 31?$1.00Nov 28, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Nov 20, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Nov 20, 02:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $356.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 11:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 01:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".