Modest-Authority
0xe4965750527fef9a6d03ec0b5638fd442b78b489
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
147
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$267.50
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 147- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 13?
10612 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-16.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 13?
7129 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.88
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 9?
5964 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 11?
4844 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on February 11?
4597 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 13?
3292 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-44.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on February 11?
3148 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 12?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 26?
2803 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-64.66
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on February 8?
2744 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 4?$0.52Mar 4, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 4?$0.52Mar 4, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 2?$5.10Mar 2, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?$12.50Mar 2, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 2?$0.18Mar 2, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 2?$0.36Mar 2, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 2?$2.00Mar 2, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 2?$14.40Mar 2, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 2?$7.40Mar 2, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 2?$6.20Mar 2, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 2?$2.75Mar 2, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 2?$22.00Mar 2, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 2?$0.25Mar 2, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 2?$20.00Mar 2, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 2?$20.00Mar 2, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 2?$25.20Mar 2, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 27?$0.03Feb 27, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 27?$0.03Feb 27, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 27?$0.02Feb 27, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 27?$0.03Feb 27, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 16:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 14:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.