Reliable-Primary
0xe4998e8ed627386696a43094d5c10931afc36b7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$4.46
Total PnL
$-1.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.16
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 10?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.15
$0.05
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 10?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.10
$0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.05
$0.02
- YES
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 10?$1.06Jun 10, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?$1.02Jun 10, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.02Jun 10, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Witness" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$1.03Jun 10, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top global Netflix show this week?$1.03Jun 10, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?$1.04Jun 10, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 10?$1.10Jun 10, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?$1.03Jun 10, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?$1.00Jun 8, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?$1.03Jun 8, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Witness" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$1.00Jun 8, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top global Netflix show this week?$1.02Jun 8, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.01Jun 8, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.01Jun 8, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$1.10Jun 8, 01:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$33.70Jun 6, 14:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $4.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 14:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.