Jagged-Toll
0xe49d6e54a660bf2b23c06ed08a05b05d14a61d95
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-738.90
Realised
$-49.37
Win rate
0%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET
228 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
193 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.86
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10PM ET
161 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET
79 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-27.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4PM ET
69 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.79
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET
54 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.52
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
50 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-22.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
46 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-24.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$11.52Jul 5, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$6.65Jul 5, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$11.88Jul 4, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$6.39Jul 4, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$11.78Jul 4, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$6.10Jul 4, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$11.24Jul 3, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$5.82Jul 3, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$11.80Jul 3, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$5.51Jul 3, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$5.84Jul 2, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$9.36Jul 1, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$5.57Jul 1, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$10.71Jul 1, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$5.33Jul 1, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$5.66Jul 1, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$5.92Jul 1, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$10.92Jul 1, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$5.65Jul 1, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$10.22Jun 30, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $9.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 17:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.