Worried-Achievement
0xe4a756020b2e4a8dcd2d1744120f1261a0553cd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$45.11
Total PnL
$-91.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
136 shares @ 28.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$23.75
$-14.25
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
21 shares @ 84.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$21.36
$3.36
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?
9299 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-49.21
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?
778 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 25°F or below on January 21?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 21?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
40 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- $3K
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?
25 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on January 21?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$48.22Feb 2, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?$2.00Feb 2, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$1.00Feb 2, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$38.00Feb 2, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?$5.00Feb 2, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?$18.00Feb 2, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?$5.00Feb 2, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$8.00Feb 2, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$8.00Feb 2, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on January 21?$1.00Jan 20, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 25°F or below on January 21?$1.00Jan 20, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 21?$1.00Jan 20, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$136.22Jan 12, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$117.15Sep 18, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$116.67Sep 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$91.00Aug 23, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK be a member of the Trump administration? $91.48Aug 23, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK be a member of the Trump administration? $84.16Nov 9, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$84.16Nov 9, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$51.42Nov 5, 17:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $30.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 17:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 06:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.