Relieved-Margarine
0xe4a9d3c06333a47233f8a141204a41f5c80781ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$12.37
Total PnL
$0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4,400 and $4,500 on October 12?$6.18Oct 12, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEM"The Smashing Machine" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 80?$6.18Oct 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUY"The Smashing Machine" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 80?$6.17Oct 5, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no leader be out in 2025?$6.18Oct 5, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no leader be out in 2025?$6.19Oct 5, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Revolutionary Left Front win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?$6.18Oct 5, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?$6.16Aug 17, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Revolutionary Left Front win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?$6.16Aug 17, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolutionary Left Front win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?$12.34Aug 17, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Williams have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$5.46Aug 17, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?$6.88Aug 17, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?$6.86May 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Williams have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$5.45May 17, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $76000 on Apr 18?$5.38May 17, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1300 on Apr 18?$5.98May 17, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high in April?$20.83Apr 15, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill another driver win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?$6.15Apr 15, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 46-47°F on April 12?$19.37Apr 15, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in April?$20.85Apr 12, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?$6.14Apr 12, 18:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $11.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 20:47 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 12, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.