Poor-Moat
0xe4acfa1842cfc8aff90c7121b48852b7b49ce6eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-46.51
Realised
$5.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 16?
755 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 18?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 17?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?
21 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
12 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
9 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 14?
8 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.01May 30, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$3.52May 30, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.20May 30, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.26May 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.00May 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.25May 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.25May 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.26May 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.25May 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.53May 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.63May 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 18?$0.15May 17, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 18?$0.05May 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 17?$0.01May 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 17?$0.03May 17, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 17?$0.02May 17, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 17?$0.01May 17, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 17?$0.01May 17, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 17?$0.01May 17, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 17?$0.01May 17, 11:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 07:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 08:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.