Warm-Retina
0xe4ad8476eef71b072174e19b7ade1e2ff14a5647
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
80
Open notional
$84.82
Total PnL
$-875.99
Realised
$2.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
356 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$26.73
$1.73
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
19 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$19.25
$14.44
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.88
$2.88
- YES
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
514 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.01
$-6.99
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
171 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.46
$-1.54
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.66
$-2.34
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
105 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-9.05
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
60 shares @ 16.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.90
$-9.10
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
24583 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-110.97
- YES
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?
5756 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$31.25Apr 8, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$5.00Apr 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$30.00Apr 8, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$20.00Apr 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$20.00Apr 7, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.00Apr 7, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$15.00Apr 7, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$10.00Apr 7, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$25.00Apr 7, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$25.00Apr 7, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$5.00Apr 6, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$5.00Apr 6, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$5.00Apr 6, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$10.00Mar 23, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 23, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by April 30?$58.61Mar 18, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$202.88Mar 18, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$19.49Mar 6, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$100.00Mar 6, 00:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $22.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 15:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".