Numb-Bread
0xe4c4ccf466067036adb9484823353f2f7e9ff1a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$10.54
Total PnL
$-19.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.67
$5.67
- NO
French election called by December 31?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.05
$0.53
- YES
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?
20 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.56
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
19 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by December 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 14, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Oct 30, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Oct 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Oct 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Oct 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Oct 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00Oct 30, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00Oct 30, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$2.52Oct 30, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$2.14Oct 30, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$3.00Oct 30, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?$0.72Oct 30, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Oct 16, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?$3.34Oct 16, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?$3.56Oct 16, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by December 31?$7.74Oct 16, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by December 31?$1.52Oct 16, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.00Oct 16, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.00Oct 16, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.00Oct 16, 18:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $2.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 14, 18:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.