Red-Butterfly
0xe4c8b5ef78c5070e9b8608afb830b1b0a9cb2102
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$61.68
Total PnL
$-518.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.36
$16.36
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$25.32
$5.32
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
455 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
381 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Will Journalism win the Preakness Stakes
247 shares @ 54.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-135.00
- YES
Will Clever Again win the Preakness Stakes
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will River Thames win the Preakness Stakes
200 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will Sandman win the Preakness Stakes
125 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-23.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
109 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$80.00Dec 13, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$80.61Dec 13, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$63.59Dec 1, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMJaguars vs. Texans$38.46Nov 10, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?$50.00Nov 10, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Nov 9, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYJaguars vs. Texans$20.00Nov 9, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$50.00Nov 9, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$165.13Nov 9, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$97.92Oct 25, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-9.5)$32.31Oct 18, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$20.00Sep 7, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$25.00Sep 7, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Sep 7, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$10.00Sep 7, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$25.64Sep 7, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Stars$51.19Sep 7, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Stars$30.00May 18, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Journalism win the Preakness Stakes$108.77May 17, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Journalism win the Preakness Stakes$1.22May 17, 23:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $24.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 16:48 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 22:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".