Watery-Cap
0xe4cd47c719e99be7457837e018bb82002af217c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$36.96
Total PnL
$-178.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$9.52
$7.52
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
9 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.51
$4.51
- YES
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$7.04
$2.04
- YES
Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$6.17
$1.17
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.71
$3.71
- YES
Boxing: Will Usyk win by Decision?
237 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
196 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?
129 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Boxing: Will Dubois win by Decision?
96 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-7.55
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?
67 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$4.00Feb 22, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$2.00Feb 22, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.00Feb 22, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?$10.00Feb 22, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Feb 22, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Feb 22, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Feb 22, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Feb 22, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$10.00Feb 22, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Feb 22, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Feb 22, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$10.00Feb 22, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $0.00Jan 1, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $68.98Jan 1, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$50.00Dec 3, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $50.00Nov 27, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Will Dubois win by Decision?$7.55Jul 19, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Will Usyk win by Decision?$90.00Jul 19, 20:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $16.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 20:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 21:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.