Fearful-Diaphragm
0xe4d4aca6bb47782465996f77a498f12e00c01d4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.82
Total PnL
$-0.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$2.24
$1.25
- YES
Ethereum above 2,075 on March 21, 12AM ET?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$0.56
$-0.44
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 67.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRaptors vs. Nuggets$1.18Mar 21, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 21, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 2,075 on March 21, 12AM ET?$1.00Mar 21, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Nuggets$1.00Mar 21, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?$1.27Mar 19, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.00Mar 19, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?$1.00Mar 18, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?$1.00Mar 18, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$1.00Mar 18, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.28Mar 18, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMFogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?$2.22Mar 18, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$4.65Mar 18, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win the debate according to polls?$0.00Dec 19, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: FRK vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner$1.20Dec 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: FRK vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner$1.00Dec 16, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3)$2.41Dec 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3)$2.00Dec 16, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?$2.00Dec 16, 07:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 9, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.