Critical-Department
0xe4d5eb21f5352b3cb34a2c5847b7b9463dae86b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$928.09
Total PnL
$-124.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
543 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$543.48
$43.48
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
385 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$384.62
$184.62
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?
1392 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-123.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
909 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
435 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Dec 13, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$500.00Dec 12, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?$123.00Dec 12, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$19.98Dec 12, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$816.66Dec 12, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$334.00Dec 12, 05:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Dec 12, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Dec 11, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Dec 10, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Dec 9, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Dec 8, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Dec 7, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Dec 6, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Dec 5, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Dec 4, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Dec 3, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Dec 2, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Dec 1, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Nov 30, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Nov 29, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $284.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 22:22 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 00:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.