Flustered-Bet
0xe4d8de3801077322234f5cf803fd4f2fd878edc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$32.90
Total PnL
$-73.41
Realised
$-65.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?
40 shares @ 44.1¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.20
$-2.45
- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 42.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.60
$1.20
- YES
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.17
$0.03
- YES
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?
46 shares @ 10.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.93
$-1.07
- YES
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- UNDER
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- NO
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$2.08Jun 13, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$1.02Jun 12, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$7.25Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?$95.09Jun 10, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?$95.01Jun 10, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$5.05Jun 8, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$15.91Jun 5, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.35Jun 5, 06:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?$7.73Jun 1, 08:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31?$100.10Jun 1, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5$16.00May 30, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31?$100.01May 30, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?$100.10May 30, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5$14.58May 30, 10:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $52.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.