Gullible-Gunpowder
0xe4d91f42ad66e577f20f945609e54ecac3712f47
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-660.49
Realised
$-17.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
16084 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-512.49
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
2625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get between 34 and 35 million views on day 1?
315 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- YES
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
275 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Sinners be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
145 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Hamnet be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
135 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?
119 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$5.00Jan 15, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$10.00Jan 15, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$5.00Jan 15, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$100.00Jan 15, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 20 be between 2,300,000 and 2,500,000?$0.52Jan 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 20 be between 2,300,000 and 2,500,000?$0.60Jan 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?$2.00Jan 15, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$26.00Jan 15, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$40.00Jan 15, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$9.00Jan 15, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 15, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$41.00Jan 15, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Jan 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Jan 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Jan 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Jan 15, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$5.00Jan 15, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$20.00Jan 15, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$116.10Jan 14, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$121.65Jan 14, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $60.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 23:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 23:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.