Rundown-Average
0xe4da8fad4beb3046a5a2bc58c5cd40392c76818b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
77
Open notional
$35.00
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$63.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.00
$-15.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
2268 shares @ 72.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1197 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
639 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on May 11?
452 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?
430 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
327 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
323 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$39.52Jan 27, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$2.37Jan 27, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$50.00Jan 18, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$30.00Jan 18, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$50.00Jan 18, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$7.54Jan 18, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$30.00Jan 18, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$12.50Jan 18, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$41.57Jan 18, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$54.05Jan 18, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$66.67Jan 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 14, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$20.00Jan 14, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$20.00Jan 14, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$20.00Jan 14, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$50.00Jan 14, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.08Jan 14, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$50.00Jan 14, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.15Jan 11, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$1.47Jan 11, 21:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $19.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 23:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".