Unconscious-Hacksaw-Ninja
0xe4dec8b2883e6055decd8578a0b79c43b102edcb
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$6.38
Total PnL
$-46.11
Realised
$-1.59
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 13?
68 shares @ 7.4¢·now 3.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$2.02
$-2.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 13?
17 shares @ 11.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.29
$-0.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 9?
257 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 10?
246 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 10?
119 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 9?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
19 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 13?$5.23Aug 12, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.12Aug 12, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.04Aug 12, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$0.86Aug 12, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.04Aug 12, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.06Aug 12, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.05Aug 12, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.04Aug 12, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.07Aug 12, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.04Aug 12, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.10Aug 12, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.02Aug 12, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$3.42Aug 12, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.05Aug 12, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.04Aug 12, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Aug 12, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$0.00Aug 12, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.03Aug 12, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$6.17Aug 12, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.06Aug 12, 05:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 09:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.