Thirsty-Closing
0xe4ecdc34dbf7b3ff751de60ec99953058b24646d
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
6271 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
4267 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
3483 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
2382 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
2078 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?
1972 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $800M and $1B?
1878 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1B and $1.2?
1529 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$50.00Nov 21, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$50.00Nov 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Monad public sale commitments be between $1B and $1.2?$20.00Nov 21, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?$20.00Nov 21, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Monad public sale commitments be between $800M and $1B?$50.00Nov 21, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?$100.00Nov 21, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $400M committed to the Monad public sale?$100.00Nov 21, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$100.00Nov 21, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$100.00Nov 21, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $600M committed to the Monad public sale?$500.00Nov 21, 08:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $109.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 21, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.