Edible-Diarist-Literate
0xe4f06a61b48a5f40513bf77865d7f4b795d8510f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$99.37
Total PnL
$-24.32
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?
126 shares @ 71.3¢·now 65.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$82.65
$-6.84
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
28 shares @ 67.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$14.18
$-4.45
- YES
Will Los Angeles Mad Drops win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?
29 shares @ 54.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.54
$-13.05
Recent activity
- REWARD$8.68Aug 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?$26.80Aug 15, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?$45.43Aug 15, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$8.16Aug 15, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$12.28Aug 14, 16:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.18Aug 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?$89.50Aug 13, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?$84.80Aug 13, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?$110.00Aug 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?$50.70Aug 13, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?$4.53Aug 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?$54.99Aug 13, 07:13 UTC
- REWARD$14.29Aug 13, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$2.43Aug 12, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.98Aug 11, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$2.11Aug 10, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.80Aug 9, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.93Aug 8, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$13.91Aug 7, 20:23 UTC
- REWARD$3.58Aug 7, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $53.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.