Bitter-Warren
0xe4f8b15cf2258ff25877920eaa6886eb9b061092
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-883.74
Realised
$0.78
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
7308 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-94.09
- NO
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
459 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.48
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
219 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- BILIBILI GAMING
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)
170 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-47.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
165 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-9.57
- TEAM SECRET WHALES
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner
150 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-86.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
132 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.76
Recent activity
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$100.00Jan 3, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?$40.00Jan 1, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$54.00Jan 1, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMAnother crypto hack over $100m in 2025?$359.33Jan 1, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$10.00Dec 29, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$6.60Dec 28, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$9.47Dec 26, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$77.53Dec 26, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?$17.80Dec 26, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$6.53Dec 25, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMLighter Airdrop on December 24?$20.00Dec 25, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 all time high by December 31?$9.52Dec 24, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$2.60Dec 23, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$3.03Dec 23, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$0.73Dec 23, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$0.12Dec 23, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$14.20Dec 23, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$0.20Dec 23, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$13.50Dec 23, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$35.24Dec 19, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $33.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 16:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".