Granular-Pickaxe
0xe4f8b2bff41725bc4a61e0eda092a29f3376b2cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$941.66
Total PnL
$-6.95
Realised
$3.22
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
110 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$110.09
$0.08
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
111 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$110.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
110 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$109.67
$-0.32
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
112 shares @ 98.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$108.43
$-1.57
- NO
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?
105 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.6¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$103.64
$-0.68
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
98 shares @ 98.5¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$93.42
$-2.60
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
50 shares @ 99.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.09
$-0.22
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
48 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$47.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
48 shares @ 99.2¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$46.93
$-1.06
- NO
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship?
35 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$35.08
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$24.03Jun 14, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$24.00Jun 14, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$24.00Jun 14, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$20.01Jun 14, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$24.00Jun 14, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$24.02Jun 14, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$24.02Jun 14, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$24.02Jun 14, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$24.02Jun 14, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$14.01Jun 13, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$24.00Jun 13, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$23.92Jun 13, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$24.00Jun 13, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$0.08Jun 13, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$11.18Jun 13, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$12.81Jun 13, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$20.56Jun 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.88Jun 13, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$48.01Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.55Jun 13, 18:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.