Partial-Timber
0xe4ff765370a78694b09d805b1e70d5b25f5c7be7
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$0.43
Total PnL
$-310.74
Realised
$-25.58
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 25.6¢·now 23.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.43
$-0.05
- YES
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?
535 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on March 20, 2026?
244 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.25
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
238 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-27.69
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
227 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 20, 2026?
215 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.00Apr 6, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$3.00Apr 5, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$3.85Apr 5, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$3.44Apr 5, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$6.31Apr 5, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$1.00Apr 4, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$5.29Apr 4, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$2.07Apr 4, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$0.99Apr 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.00Apr 4, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$0.97Apr 3, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$2.35Apr 3, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$7.35Apr 3, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYP2P FDV above $10M one day after launch?$0.52Apr 2, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYP2P FDV above $10M one day after launch?$0.43Apr 2, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$3.00Apr 2, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$2.22Apr 2, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.80Apr 2, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$8.00Apr 2, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYP2P FDV above $10M one day after launch?$4.00Apr 2, 14:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 21:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.