Corrupt-Fright
0xe5009f645ec6bee66f3abfb65decfe867955d198
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$33.21
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 1?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
878 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.54
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
783 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
370 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?
268 shares @ 65.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-175.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
256 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-25.19
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
208 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?
160 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-10?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$10.57Jul 21, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$10.47Jul 21, 22:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$21.83Jul 14, 19:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$0.00Jul 8, 09:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$14.38Jul 7, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.