Creepy-Manor
0xe5080c03c4ad1674618c540a88fdf4538be74cd9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-273.11
Realised
$-72.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
4030 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.15
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during WEF Address on January 21?
1523 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-131.13
- YES
GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?
438 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.64
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
74 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-27.29
- YES
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
10 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-5.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.95May 20, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.31May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.92May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.08May 17, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.40May 17, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.17May 17, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.52May 17, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$16.00May 17, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?$1.01Feb 20, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?$1.67Feb 20, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?$0.72Feb 20, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?$2.37Feb 20, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?$4.87Feb 20, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?$4.87Feb 20, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?$26.68Feb 19, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?$15.00Feb 19, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?$41.69Feb 18, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?$27.21Feb 17, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 28, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 28, 18:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $26.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 05:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.