Great-Calculation
0xe509fb4ba1f63a50fff037edb645f2f87b9c3fda
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-175.75
Realised
$-5.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
8645 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-110.74
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Green New Scam" during Wednesday speech?
678 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2024$0.00
$-3.77
- YES
Will Trump say "tampon" during Wednesday speech?
481 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wednesday speech?
325 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "World War 3" during Wednesday speech?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will CZ tweet by Friday?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" 3 or more times during Wednesday speech?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMFrench Open: Khachanov vs. Paul$23.40May 30, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench Open: Khachanov vs. Paul$11.00May 30, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLAll New Orleans escapees captured in May?$39.10May 30, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAll New Orleans escapees captured in May?$37.19May 27, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Derrick Groves be captured by Friday?$26.46May 25, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Derrick Groves be captured by Friday?$20.00May 21, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 inmates be captured by Friday?$20.00May 21, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$6.14Aug 26, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$15.00Aug 25, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$7.22Aug 25, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$25.00Aug 25, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$7.00Aug 25, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden resign before the election?$7.00Aug 25, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$14.26Aug 25, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLHarris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?$14.26Aug 25, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$11.13Aug 24, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$5.00Aug 24, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$5.00Aug 24, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$5.00Aug 24, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$5.00Aug 24, 13:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 01:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 18:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".