Wordy-Borrowing
0xe512466ee2e6547179b3153b6d7349ef9c8b5751
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$329.89
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?
4760 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?
4294 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?
3333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- FRANCE
France vs. England: Team to Win
1574 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?
1538 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?
1277 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Croatia?
1250 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- FRANCE
Spread: France (-1.5)
1026 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- EDWARD GAMING
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
909 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UNDER
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5
878 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpread: England (-2.5) AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?$118.71Jul 19, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Any Other Score?$0.33Jul 19, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$270.44Jul 19, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$10.50Jul 18, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: England (-2.5) AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$533.59Jul 18, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-2.5) AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$49.99Jul 18, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-2.5) AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$40.00Jul 18, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-2.5) AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$40.00Jul 18, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-2.5) AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$40.00Jul 18, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-2.5) AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?$20.00Jul 18, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-2.5) AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$9.99Jul 18, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Any Other Score?$332.65Jul 18, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 3 - 3 England?$116.43Jul 18, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? AND Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?$45.00Jul 18, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 1 England?$52.40Jul 18, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$52.12Jul 18, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 3 England?$52.44Jul 18, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5) AND Spread: France (-1.5)$99.99Jul 18, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) AND Games Total: O/U 2.5$99.99Jul 17, 18:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $143.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.