Lined-Hockey
0xe5157a66729f362adbea1afc30dcb6e095803e99
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$183.31
Total PnL
$-274.49
Realised
$-42.19
Win rate
0%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?
139 shares @ 26.2¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$34.14
$-2.36
- YES
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2027?
55 shares @ 75.2¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$27.80
$-13.20
- YES
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 41.3¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$26.70
$5.10
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 94.7¢·now 84.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$16.85
$-2.09
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 92.9¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$15.80
$-2.78
- NO
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?
19 shares @ 78.2¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$14.48
$-0.52
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.05
$0.05
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
10 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$9.80
$-4.80
- NO
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.26
$0.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?$234.21Aug 15, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denis Lazavik Win EWC 2026 Chess?$10.41Aug 15, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?$100.71Aug 15, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Firouzja Win EWC 2026 Chess?$1.05Aug 15, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denis Lazavik Win EWC 2026 Chess?$10.41Aug 15, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?$100.75Aug 15, 10:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$223.49Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.45Jul 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.97Jul 19, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.29Jul 19, 21:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$82.33Jul 16, 21:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 54 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
54 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $38.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 19:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.