Authentic-Noise
0xe51a6d848ac1bb28f39b0f77a96b5b4451674e13
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-437.00
Realised
$-30.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
5010 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-88.23
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?
510 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-49.98
- NO
Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?
481 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-177.79
- YES
Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena AI trading competition?
128 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-9.03
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by November 30?
124 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?
100 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-18.89
- YES
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?
99 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Roy Cooper announce NC senate run before Oct?
50 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon visit the Western Wall before August?
47 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$3.70Jan 24, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$3.23Jan 24, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$0.78Jan 24, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$4.90Jan 24, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$3.92Jan 24, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$1.96Jan 24, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$2.39Jan 24, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$2.25Jan 24, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$19.60Jan 24, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$4.26Jan 24, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$1.96Jan 24, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$1.01Jan 24, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$83.23Dec 13, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token in 2025?$0.65Dec 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$19.26Dec 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?$1.91Dec 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?$1.14Dec 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$4.10Dec 13, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?$0.52Dec 13, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$1.80Dec 13, 23:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 05:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 12:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.