Standard-Thrush
0xe529a58b472b7e375984487b59b149db6a338a7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$100.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?
4464 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-527.76
- YES
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?
2351 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
368 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.10
- NO
Will Madani first lead in the 1st round?
6 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$8.10Jul 1, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$12.24Jun 30, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$129.25Jun 30, 01:08 UTC
- REWARD$5.36Jun 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$6.11Jun 29, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$91.67Jun 29, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$5.09Jun 29, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$25.67Jun 29, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?$364.62Jun 29, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$40.33Jun 29, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?$0.41Jun 29, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$55.00Jun 29, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?$83.88Jun 29, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$355.12Jun 29, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$159.51Jun 29, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?$55.09Jun 29, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$116.21Jun 29, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUY50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?$23.76Jun 29, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother Houthi strike on Israel before July?$20.54Jun 29, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $36.79Jun 29, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $137.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 05:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 04:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.