Functional-Corridor
0xe5479861150216729dd4c2b1f5fcdc6e94ad271d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$4.15
Total PnL
$-16.66
Realised
$39.03
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?
248 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$4.09
$1.13
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 24?
60 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.03
$-9.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 24?
60 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.03
$-10.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?
8203 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 13?
1349 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 23?
947 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.27
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
101 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 14?
76 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.53
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 4?
23 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 21?
22 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?$0.12Jul 24, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?$0.07Jul 24, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?$0.02Jul 24, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?$0.00Jul 24, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?$0.17Jul 24, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?$0.03Jul 24, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?$0.04Jul 24, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?$0.12Jul 24, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?$0.12Jul 24, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?$0.18Jul 24, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?$0.01Jul 24, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?$0.07Jul 24, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?$0.01Jul 24, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?$0.12Jul 24, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?$0.04Jul 23, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?$0.01Jul 23, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 24?$3.64Jul 23, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?$0.05Jul 23, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 24?$6.20Jul 23, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 25?$0.00Jul 23, 18:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 21:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.