Enraged-Nightingale
0xe54b27bf33e412f88f95a68db3515efcca37522a
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-102.16
Realised
$-5.18
Win rate
27%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on May 31?
210 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C or higher on May 30?
170 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 30?
139 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 29?
124 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on June 1?
104 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 31?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 30?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 31?
96 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on May 9?
67 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 23?$2.07Jun 23, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 23?$2.10Jun 23, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?$2.08Jun 22, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?$0.92Jun 22, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?$0.08Jun 22, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?$0.06Jun 22, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?$0.32Jun 22, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?$1.75Jun 22, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?$0.65Jun 22, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?$2.08Jun 22, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?$5.10Jun 22, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?$2.07Jun 22, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?$3.35Jun 19, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?$3.81Jun 19, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?$2.08Jun 19, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 15?$5.20Jun 15, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?$2.00Jun 15, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 15?$2.06Jun 15, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 15?$1.99Jun 15, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 11?$3.86Jun 11, 10:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 08:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 09:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.