True-Parallelogram
0xe54b29efaff2651b3140a88eeaa02acfcc60aa14
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$17.9K
Total PnL
$-473.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
4610 shares @ 93.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.0K
$-293.65
- NO
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?
2916 shares @ 94.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.9K
$132.98
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?
3796 shares @ 85.5¢·now 73.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.8K
$-475.38
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?
2510 shares @ 93.9¢·now 92.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.3K
$-28.67
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?
1431 shares @ 92.4¢·now 95.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.4K
$37.53
- NO
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
1047 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.0K
$51.77
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
897 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$854.20
$11.21
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?
515 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$514.48
$2.32
- NO
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?
483 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$477.21
$33.20
- NO
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026?
487 shares @ 93.5¢·now 95.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$465.55
$10.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by August 31?$92.00Aug 2, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill XQC Beat Forsens Minecraft Speedrun Record By July 31$100.00Aug 2, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$558.00Aug 2, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by September 30?$43.00Aug 1, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?$90.00Aug 1, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?$20.70Aug 1, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?$15.00Aug 1, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$564.00Aug 1, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?$3.85Aug 1, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Yemen by August 31?$21.08Aug 1, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$752.00Aug 1, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$15.14Aug 1, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$497.02Aug 1, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by September 30?$9.68Aug 1, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by September 30?$85.00Aug 1, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by September 30?$2.93Aug 1, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by September 30?$14.67Aug 1, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$564.00Aug 1, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by September 30?$4.40Aug 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by August 31?$427.50Aug 1, 14:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $184.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 08:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 04:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.