Glorious-Foam
0xe54cc0e9b2127668de99d6c21f2f4d49d9582c69
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$441.93
Total PnL
$-22.09
Realised
$4.59
Win rate
61%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 27?
14 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$11.90
$-0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 25?
11 shares @ 36.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$10.98
$6.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 27?
12 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.76
$0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 26?
12 shares @ 81.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$9.53
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?
9 shares @ 84.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$8.90
$1.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 25?
7 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$7.00
$0.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 25?
7 shares @ 80.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$6.98
$1.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on June 26?
7 shares @ 95.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$6.86
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 26?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$6.85
$1.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 26?
7 shares @ 91.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$6.81
$0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 27?$1.74Jun 26, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 26?$1.45Jun 26, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on June 26?$4.51Jun 26, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 26?$2.03Jun 26, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on June 26?$7.99Jun 26, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 26?$1.01Jun 26, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 27?$0.10Jun 26, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 26?$7.41Jun 26, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 26?$2.73Jun 26, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 27?$1.05Jun 26, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 27?$1.05Jun 26, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?$1.38Jun 26, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 26?$4.43Jun 26, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 26?$0.94Jun 26, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 27?$6.40Jun 26, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 26?$3.17Jun 26, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 26?$3.96Jun 26, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 27?$5.86Jun 26, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 26?$7.39Jun 26, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 26?$4.63Jun 26, 01:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
61% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 22:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 02:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.