Wavy-Derivation
0xe54e1ed318ceec127c4d6fab26740b2598f6e651
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$4.66
Total PnL
$12.5K
Realised
$17.5K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
3 shares @ 4.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2022$3.38
$3.25
- NO
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on February 1, 2022?
2561 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 8, 2022$1.28
$-218.71
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
98552 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-999.91
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
11957 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
8943 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2023$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15?
7928 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2021$0.00
$-409.98
- YES
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?
6023 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-298.10
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5103 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-190.66
- NO
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting?
4308 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2022$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier?
3581 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2021$0.00
$-135.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$190.66Jan 8, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Jan 8, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.0KJan 8, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates in 2023?$0.03Sep 28, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates in 2023?$82.45Sep 28, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates in 2023?$0.06Sep 28, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates in 2023?$95.75Sep 28, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates in 2023?$39.82Jul 19, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night?$3.00Mar 13, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night?$8.55Mar 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?$200.00Mar 10, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates in 2023?$80.00Mar 10, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023?$50.00Feb 2, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023?$40.00Feb 2, 17:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $135.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.