Incomplete-Discipline
0xe54e562e074d2df41fa0ecbbc132681a806aa185
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.95
Total PnL
$-14.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will John Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.80
$-0.31
- YES
Will Jessica Reinmann be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.06
$-1.94
- YES
Will Mike Sacks be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.05
$-1.95
- YES
Will John Cappello be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.04
$-1.96
- YES
Will Peter Chatzky be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
2 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on April 7?
180 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 6?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 8?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 7?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 6?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 62°F or higher on May 7?$4.55May 26, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 1?$5.32May 26, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 29?$5.38May 26, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 1?$5.56May 26, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 7?$4.19May 7, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 7?$5.00May 7, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 62°F or higher on May 7?$4.41May 7, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 7?$5.17May 6, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?$4.37May 6, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?$5.00May 6, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 6?$4.67May 6, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 7?$5.00May 6, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?$4.23May 6, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?$5.00May 6, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 6?$5.00May 6, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?$4.46May 6, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?$5.00May 5, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?$4.59May 5, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?$4.60May 5, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?$5.00May 5, 16:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 03:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.