Wretched-Myth-Downfall
0xe550368332fe401df6756659a3a0e8ad37466f6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$336.05
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-67.59
Win rate
0%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in July?
100 shares @ 88.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$83.50
$-4.50
- NO
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $52.5B by July 31?
50 shares @ 94.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$41.75
$-5.25
- NO
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31?
49 shares @ 89.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$41.34
$-1.95
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 84.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$38.25
$-3.75
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?
100 shares @ 84.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$38.00
$-46.00
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?
43 shares @ 89.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$33.64
$-4.74
- YES
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.90
$-2.70
- NO
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Feb 12, 2027$12.10
$-5.30
- NO
Danaher (DHR) Q2 non-GAAP core revenue growth 3%-4.5%?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$11.80
$-4.60
- YES
Will Honeywell Technologies (HON) Q2 Building Automation sales be above $1.95B?
11 shares @ 84.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$8.25
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$43.87Jul 14, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$44.05Jul 14, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$0.74Jul 14, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$1.32Jul 14, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$44.30Jul 14, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$44.50Jul 14, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$25.78Jul 14, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$25.91Jul 14, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$4.34Jul 14, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$5.00Jul 14, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?$32.97Jul 14, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?$34.40Jul 14, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$40.72Jul 14, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$41.90Jul 14, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?$44.30Jul 14, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?$45.05Jul 14, 02:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.09Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$4.20Jul 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$27.63Jul 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$27.65Jul 14, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $28.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 17:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 10:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.