Same-Magazine
0xe5544c9c6fb07e417fdfa9a3e100d1446aa8ce6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$524.83
Total PnL
$-219.26
Realised
$-34.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
501 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$499.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$15.02
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.07
$0.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3AM ET
220 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-81.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET
205 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-102.50
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
6 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$15.00Jun 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$500.02Jun 30, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$20.02Jun 30, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?$100.20Jun 30, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?$200.20Jun 30, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$200.60Jun 30, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$20.00May 24, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?$100.01May 24, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?$200.01May 24, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$10.03May 24, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$300.30May 24, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$300.02Apr 30, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$200.03Apr 30, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$10.00Apr 30, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?$13.01Apr 30, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$501.30Apr 30, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 23, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?$13.00Mar 23, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$500.80Mar 23, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Mar 23, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $135.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 04:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 08:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.