White-Choice
0xe556b746790392123ef0efc3762f7354a7c370a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$40.31
Total PnL
$-21.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$20.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2024$10.42
$5.42
- NO
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2024$6.00
$3.06
- YES
Trump sentenced to no prison time?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$2.47
$0.47
- NO
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$1.16
$0.16
- DEMOCRATIC
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
42 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Tesla" during Elon interview?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?$2.94Aug 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?$5.00Aug 11, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to no prison time?$2.00Aug 11, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Lebanon before September?$1.00Aug 11, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?$2.00Aug 11, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tesla" during Elon interview?$2.00Aug 11, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview?$2.00Aug 11, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.00Aug 11, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "Convicted Felon" in ABC interview?$0.00Aug 11, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "Malarkey" in ABC interview?$0.00Aug 11, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "Jill" in ABC interview?$0.00Aug 11, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEM[Single Market] Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.00Aug 11, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMKamala says "unburdened" by Friday?$0.00Aug 11, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?$4.21Aug 11, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMJeremy Corbyn elected to parliament in UK election?$6.67Aug 11, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Netherlands win?$15.87Aug 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELL[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$10.18Jul 4, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "Jill" in ABC interview?$3.99Jul 4, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "Convicted Felon" in ABC interview?$3.00Jul 4, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "Malarkey" in ABC interview?$1.30Jul 4, 15:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $9.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 28, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 16:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.