Surprised-University
0xe5577d3b4e1db9f99ade4a047c834466c14598c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$43.91
Total PnL
$-18.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.48
$0.48
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
9 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.43
$0.43
- NO
Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
7 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.08
$0.08
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
7 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.98
$0.98
- NO
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.90
$0.01
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?
286 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
168 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?$4.89Mar 31, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$7.00Mar 31, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$5.00Mar 31, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on February 28?$6.05Mar 31, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$8.15Mar 31, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$6.00Feb 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$9.00Feb 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on February 28?$6.00Feb 27, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$8.00Feb 27, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$10.00Feb 27, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?$20.84Feb 27, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$20.86Feb 27, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?$20.40Dec 31, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa drop out?$20.40Dec 31, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa drop out?$19.75Oct 31, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$20.00Oct 31, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released on August 7?$10.00Aug 6, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released on August 8?$11.00Aug 6, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?$0.00Aug 6, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$5.38Aug 6, 19:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $7.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.