Polite-Age
0xe558bb7b02ea489d772bd34f14cc845e391fdcd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
182
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3M
Realised
$56.0K
Win rate
90%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 182- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
901749 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-264.5K
- CABO VERDE
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
332850 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-18.9K
- YES
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score
235000 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-124.3K
- NO
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
171484 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-137.1K
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
159999 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-66.0K
- EGYPT
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)
155863 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.2K
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
140000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-128.8K
- BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance
134008 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.2K
- ENGLAND
Spread: England (-4.5)
113086 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-28.2K
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?
101027 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.4K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$32.63Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$140.18Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5$5.6KJul 28, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5$10.36Jul 28, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5$5.8KJul 28, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$120.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$120.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$0.60Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$0.25Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$120.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$120.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$1.20Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$6.60Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$1.20Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$288.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$156.36Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$9.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$120.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$3.10Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$120.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$152.5K
Trades
2
Buy share
100%
Window
May 23, 03:20 UTC → Jul 10, 01:24 UTC
- BUYNBA Summer League: Orlando Magic vs. Charlotte Hornets$9.2K@96¢Jul 10, 01:24 UTC
- BUYHarry Kane: 1+ goals$13.8K@64¢Jun 23, 19:59 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
74/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
90% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 9 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
30 closed markets, 90% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$9.2K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
9 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
$36.8K · 24% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 23:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.