Polite-Age
0xe558bb7b02ea489d772bd34f14cc845e391fdcd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
182
Open notional
$43.96
Total PnL
$-1.3M
Realised
$56.0K
Win rate
90%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 182- TORONTO TEMPO
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx
1954 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$43.96
$-92.81
- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
901749 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-264.5K
- CABO VERDE
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
332850 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-18.9K
- YES
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score
235000 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-124.3K
- NO
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
171484 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-137.1K
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
159999 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-66.0K
- EGYPT
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)
155863 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.2K
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
140000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-128.8K
- BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance
134008 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.2K
- ENGLAND
Spread: England (-4.5)
113086 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-28.2K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$32.63Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$140.18Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5$5.6KJul 28, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5$10.36Jul 28, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5$5.8KJul 28, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$120.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$120.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$0.60Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$0.25Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$120.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$120.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$1.20Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$6.60Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$1.20Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$288.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$156.36Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$9.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$120.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$3.10Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$120.00Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$152.5K
Trades
2
Buy share
100%
Window
May 23, 03:20 UTC → Jul 10, 01:24 UTC
- BUYNBA Summer League: Orlando Magic vs. Charlotte Hornets$9.2K@96¢Jul 10, 01:24 UTC
- BUYHarry Kane: 1+ goals$13.8K@64¢Jun 23, 19:59 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
68/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
90% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 9 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
30 closed markets, 90% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$9.2K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
9 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
$36.8K · 24% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 23:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.