Cuddly-Supply
0xe55b257759814f95071c1f7ca7ac2aa6a17b4264
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-50.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
15800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-15.80
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
8415 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Mike Lee be Trump's Attorney General?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $25-30m?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
209 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.35
- YES
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in Assists?
73 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$15.80Oct 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?$3.00May 27, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $25-30m?$4.00Feb 2, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Lee be Trump's Attorney General?$10.00Feb 2, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 200 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$9.00Feb 2, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$2.00Jan 9, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.68Dec 13, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.05Dec 10, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.40Dec 10, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.22Dec 9, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in Assists?$1.36Dec 2, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $4.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 13, 16:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.