Wallet digest

active

Activity score

87/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$336.69

Total PnL

$-18.11

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 69

YES
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
380 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026
$187.15
$4.75
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$5.00
$2.25
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$5.00
$2.25
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$5.00
$1.70
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$5.00
$2.20
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$5.00
$2.25
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$5.00
$2.25
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$5.00
$2.25
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$5.00
$2.20
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$5.00
$2.25

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.85Feb 15, 15:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$2.80Feb 15, 15:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$3.30Feb 15, 07:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$2.20Feb 15, 04:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$2.80Feb 15, 04:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$2.30Feb 15, 03:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$3.20Feb 15, 03:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$2.80Feb 15, 03:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$2.65Feb 15, 02:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$2.70Feb 15, 00:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.65Feb 15, 00:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$2.75Feb 15, 00:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$2.75Feb 14, 23:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$2.60Feb 14, 23:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.75Feb 14, 22:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$2.75Feb 14, 22:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$2.75Feb 14, 22:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$2.80Feb 14, 22:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.75Feb 14, 21:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.80Feb 14, 21:29 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry96 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk58 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $2.50
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 13, 20:19 UTC
Last active: Feb 15, 15:44 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:36:17 UTC·src:Polymarket Data