Hard-Public
0xe562cfbf7b3292e0deb29a5b8fd3c38af4794fa9
Quality score
95/100
Open positions
19
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$281.48
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1501 shares @ 48.8¢·now 36.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$540.22
$-192.46
- YES
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?
1018 shares @ 29.2¢·now 45.5¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$463.36
$165.78
- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
500 shares @ 35.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$422.84
$246.84
- NO
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
345 shares @ 91.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$339.48
$23.48
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
559 shares @ 71.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$327.03
$-72.97
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 33.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$320.01
$-346.42
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?
250 shares @ 51.6¢·now 81.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$202.68
$73.53
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
300 shares @ 65.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$199.35
$4.50
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
2000 shares @ 33.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$129.98
$-540.52
- NO
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
240 shares @ 41.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$120.99
$22.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$2.291h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?$100.002h ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$8.692h ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$0.224h ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$0.225h ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$23.245h ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$1.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$70.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?$150.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$5.507h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?$50.007h ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$11.807h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?$8.507h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$5.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?$15.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$50.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?$150.007h ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$1.7311h ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$3.2015h ago
- TRADESELLCall of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 1 Winner$102.0516h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $69.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.