Thoughtful-Cinnamon
0xe5691557479df948fb91075032c23e9fbb548e40
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$16.07
Total PnL
$-175.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
26 shares @ 18.9¢·now 52.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$13.98
$8.98
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
45 shares @ 11.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.11
$-3.89
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
38 shares @ 13.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.78
$-4.22
- YES
Will MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.20
$-9.80
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
10500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8AM ET
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
328 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "No No No" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$6.33Mar 25, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Too Big to Rig" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$10.00Mar 25, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Suns$0.00Mar 25, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Suns$16.33Mar 25, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Suns$11.27Mar 24, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$20.00Mar 23, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$10.00Mar 21, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$0.00Mar 21, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$41.27Mar 21, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$23.11Mar 20, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10AM ET$20.00Mar 20, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8AM ET$4.00Mar 20, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Mar 19, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?$0.00Mar 19, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$8.80Mar 19, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?$17.03Mar 19, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?$10.00Mar 18, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$7.00Mar 18, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$10.00Mar 18, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A$14.71Mar 17, 11:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $9.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.