Recent-Concert
0xe5713580660f822eca5c4e6ffe1084503d360265
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-15.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19698 shares @ 2.5¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$955.36
$455.36
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
125000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$687.50
$-312.50
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
52632 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$605.26
$-394.74
- YES
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$40.63
$-9.38
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
33334 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-999.98
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
20694 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
16455 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.5K
- YES
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
14286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
11164 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 10?
8173 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-149.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.20Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.