Hideous-Anesthesiologist
0xe57404734128f0c7a569e33e71f896e29652bce7
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$15.84
Total PnL
$-30.53
Realised
$-0.69
Win rate
0%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 14?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.56
$0.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 14?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.54
$0.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 14?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.29
$0.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 14?
7 shares @ 28.3¢·now 28.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 14?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$1.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 14?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$1.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 14?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on August 14?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 14?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 26?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on August 14?$1.03Aug 12, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 14?$1.04Aug 12, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 14?$1.04Aug 12, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 14?$2.08Aug 12, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 14?$2.07Aug 12, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 14?$2.08Aug 12, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 14?$2.08Aug 12, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 14?$2.07Aug 12, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 14?$2.08Aug 12, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 11?$1.59Aug 12, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 11?$1.67Aug 12, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 11?$1.02Aug 11, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 11?$1.02Aug 11, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 11?$1.02Aug 11, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 11?$1.01Aug 11, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 11?$1.02Aug 11, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 8?$1.69Aug 11, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 8?$1.47Aug 9, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8?$1.49Aug 9, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 8?$1.54Aug 9, 08:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
30 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.