Elderly-Forever-Rescue
0xe57640e4334e1479efd6ac4e64147cc7b4561111
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-572.20
Realised
$-25.46
Win rate
19%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C or higher on April 23?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 22?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 23?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on April 22?
95 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on April 23?
60 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 22?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 22?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 22?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or higher on April 24?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on April 22?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.19Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$18.00Jul 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.10Jul 28, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$4.67Jul 28, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.78Jul 28, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$2.08Jul 28, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$0.31Jul 28, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$2.04Jul 28, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$2.54Jul 28, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$3.66Jul 28, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$4.30Jul 28, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$22.00Jul 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$4.40Jul 28, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$4.48Jul 28, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.99Jul 28, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.65Jul 28, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.13Jul 28, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$2.45Jul 28, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.12Jul 28, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.67Jul 28, 16:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
19% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.